Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.027809 0.030439 0.033044 0.035812 0.038664 0.041513 0.044568
2025-01-12 0.022182 0.026381 0.030660 0.035321 0.040230 0.045228 0.050680
2025-01-19 0.017525 0.022639 0.027996 0.033958 0.040352 0.046956 0.054252
2025-01-26 0.015465 0.021362 0.027673 0.034809 0.042555 0.050634 0.059629
2025-02-02 0.013300 0.019739 0.026782 0.034867 0.043746 0.053086 0.063558
2025-02-09 0.010903 0.017644 0.025207 0.034034 0.043842 0.054249 0.065996
2025-02-16 0.009487 0.016566 0.024680 0.034274 0.045032 0.056521 0.069552
2025-02-23 0.008064 0.015359 0.023920 0.034180 0.045788 0.058262 0.072477
2025-03-02 0.006700 0.014110 0.023033 0.033878 0.046257 0.059641 0.074960
2025-03-09 0.005578 0.013071 0.022331 0.033736 0.046861 0.061128 0.077523
2025-03-16 0.004307 0.011702 0.021158 0.032991 0.046740 0.061776 0.079130
2025-03-23 0.003534 0.010947 0.020696 0.033047 0.047496 0.063371 0.081748
2025-03-30 0.002531 0.009820 0.019838 0.032756 0.048017 0.064885 0.084495
2025-04-06 0.001567 0.008577 0.018796 0.032252 0.048324 0.066206 0.087089
2025-04-13 0.000619 0.006965 0.017143 0.030932 0.047634 0.066369 0.088368
2025-04-20 0.000364 0.006655 0.017240 0.031752 0.049430 0.069323 0.092730
2025-04-27 0.000083 0.005971 0.016755 0.031808 0.050297 0.071198 0.095864
2025-05-04 NaN 0.004913 0.015631 0.031003 0.050105 0.071835 0.097585
2025-05-11 NaN 0.004435 0.015335 0.031236 0.051131 0.073848 0.100829
2025-05-18 NaN 0.003849 0.014813 0.031145 0.051747 0.075370 0.103503
2025-05-25 NaN 0.003226 0.014162 0.030853 0.052096 0.076568 0.105792
2025-06-01 NaN 0.002720 0.013648 0.030716 0.052616 0.077945 0.108268
2025-06-08 NaN 0.002048 0.012733 0.029998 0.052399 0.078448 0.109736